Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.665914 3.901952 4.155576 4.450197 4.785427 5.157954 5.607489
2025-03-09 3.275116 3.580174 3.925087 4.349616 4.866432 5.487042 6.308489
2025-03-16 2.934961 3.269078 3.660927 4.164633 4.811460 5.640364 6.833139
2025-03-23 2.742591 3.109244 3.554599 4.152353 4.963778 6.080736 7.855708
2025-03-30 2.564848 2.949480 3.430299 4.099730 5.054227 6.459172 8.928787
2025-04-06 2.396546 2.786815 3.285918 4.001844 5.065907 6.728245 9.948566
2025-04-13 2.233076 2.617948 3.118487 3.852808 4.979990 6.828109 10.725358
2025-04-20 2.158018 2.558688 3.092191 3.900538 5.202050 7.502517 13.108346
2025-04-27 2.095871 2.511534 3.077546 3.962616 5.458457 8.325883 16.670979
2025-05-04 2.053968 2.488343 3.093792 4.072966 5.819620 9.508388 23.314190
2025-05-11 1.996498 2.439251 3.067745 4.112040 6.060664 10.549514 32.765864
2025-05-18 1.925033 2.365870 2.999742 4.073616 6.145386 11.255748 44.584128
2025-05-25 1.832006 2.262313 2.887550 3.963893 6.099801 11.698815 61.614502
2025-06-01 1.764519 2.192421 2.822655 3.930722 6.214980 12.748067 126.245574
2025-06-08 1.683550 2.098884 2.715201 3.811644 6.121757 13.086271 262.223386
2025-06-15 1.638215 2.055656 2.684126 3.828338 6.347248 14.851798 NaN
2025-06-22 1.588004 2.002539 2.633613 3.803511 6.471712 16.421251 NaN
2025-06-29 1.532866 1.939422 2.562995 3.733296 6.469069 17.456753 NaN
2025-07-06 1.472143 1.865383 2.470580 3.612787 6.313546 17.557286 NaN
2025-07-13 1.447447 1.845146 2.465630 3.663829 6.635368 21.187389 NaN
2025-07-20 1.426138 1.828956 2.466158 3.725968 7.013670 26.697270 NaN
2025-07-27 1.412739 1.824259 2.485639 3.829928 7.564704 37.831440 NaN
2025-08-03 1.389713 1.803231 2.475356 3.869113 7.928935 52.016818 NaN